Page 33 - IRMSA Risk Report 2021
P. 33

PERPETUAL              FAKE IT UNTIL WE                OWNING OUR
               FLAG
                                   HANGOVER               MAKE IT, OR NOT?                    FUTURE
                              Leadership    accountability   The effectiveness and integrity   The  best  available  leaders
                              for   sustainable   prosperity   of  the  country’s  leadership   are  appointed  in  the  right
                              of   citizens   is   completely   is  increasing.  Leadership  is   positions to make a difference.
                              lacking.  Proponents  of  good   promoting  an  inspirational   Public, private, and civil society
                              governance  and  longer-term   vision that puts SA first and is   leaders  overcome  their
                  1
                              thinking are vilified as counter-   achieved through cooperation.  differences and work together
                              revolutionary.   Inequalities                            in    cohesive   structures
           LEADERSHIP
            CAPACITY          become acceptable to wealthy                             to   promote    sustainable
                              “enclaves”.                                              prosperity  by  making  tough
                                                                                       decisions  and  embedding
                                                                                       good governance in all spheres
                                                                                       of society and the economy.

                              Government  remains  weak    Although  the  ruling  party  is   We  build  on  the  pockets  of
                              and  divided:  fragmentation,   still struck  with idealistic  and   excellence  that  our  country
                              factionalism,  and  confusion   populist dogma, the President,   already   possesses   to
                              reign.  Public  institutions  and   with  a  number  of  strong   encourage poorer performing
                              commissions  remain  divided   supporters  lead  the  way  to   institutions   to   up   their
                  2
                              and work against  each other.   strengthen  constitutional  game.  Government  austerity
                              No  action  is  taken  against   entities   and   state-owned   measures  take  hold and
         INSTITUTIONAL
            CAPACITY          exposed  participants  in  state   enterprises – albeit too slowly   make  a  positive  impact  on
                              capture  or  other  forms  of   to  bring  about  immediate,   investor  confidence  and  SA’s
                              corruption.                  definitive  change.  There  is   investment ratings.
                                                           growing concern that this may
                                                           be too little, too late.

                              The  ANC  unites  behind  a   The ANC is unable to deal with   Politically, parties meet minds
                              corrupt  leadership.  Disparate   the  pressures  for  an  internal   around   sensible   reforms,
                              leaders  at  different  levels   clean-up  as  demanded  by   the   need   for   effective
                              in government  increasingly   the   “moral   underground”.   empowerment  policies,  and
                  3
                              make  their  own  decisions,   Instead,  it  maintains  factions   the best interest of citizens of
                              in  contradiction  to  National   with   opposing   agendas.   the  country  as  positioned  by
             POLITICS
                              Government,   to   weaken    Notwithstanding,  the  “moral   civil-society groups.
                              the  President’s  power  and   underground”   appears   to
                              entrench factionalism.       keep SA afloat.

                              Racial  and  ethnic  tensions   Those who came of political age   Racial and social tensions
                              are   intentionally   amplified   in  the  2010s,  many  of  whom   transition  into  a  new  mood
                              amid rising levels  of  violence.   are committed and highly   of  reconciliation,  unity,  and
                              Resentment   threatens   to   educated,  light  up  the  nation   common   purpose.   The
                                                           through  their  competence
                                                                                       rebound in the economy
                              spiral   into   irreconcilable   and  confidence.  They  revive   results  in  South  Africans
                  4
                              social  differences.  SA  is  torn   a  sense that  real  change  is   emerging  from  their  self-
                              by  deepening  social  divides,   possible.  A  more  confident   imposed  enclaves  and  living
              SOCIAL
                              cynical self-interest, immobility,   spirit   denotes   growing   comfortably  alongside  one
            COHESION          and   restless   energy.   It   social  cohesion,  economic   another. This promotes a new
                              becomes  a  demoralised land   expansion,  and  a  renewed   sense  of  common  purpose
                                                                                       and  cohesion  among  the
                                                           spirit of constitutionalism.
                              of disorder and decay.
                                                                                       citizenries.










        33
   28   29   30   31   32   33   34   35   36   37   38