Page 52 - IRMSA Risk Report 2021
P. 52

3.8

             EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS, NATURAL DISASTERS
                                       AND CLIMATE CHANGE


        The annual World Economic Forum (WEF) Risk Report 2020 presented 5 of the Top 10 global risks as being environmental-related,
        including extreme weather events, natural disasters and the planet’s elephant in the room – climate change.  South Africa, which
        pollutes above its size in a global GDP comparison, while featuring a significant portion of the world’s vulnerable biodiversity and
                unique ecosystems, is particularly exposed to climate risk, which exacerbates disasters and extreme weather.



                 SCENARIOS                            FLAGS                       SUCCESS STORIES
                                          COUNTRY FLAGS              C  F
                 OWNING OUR FUTURE                                          Private  sector  companies  have  shown
                                          1.   LEADERSHIP                   innovative   approaches   to   addressing
                                                                            climate  risks.  For  example,  to  address  fire
                                          2.   INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY       and flood risks, where many insured losses
                                          3.   POLITICS                     have been paid out, Santam is working with
                                                                            municipalities to strengthen their resilience
                                          4.   SOCIAL COHESION              and capacity in reducing and mitigating such
                                                                            risks.  In  the  retail  sector,  Woolworths  is
                                          5.   NATIONAL POLICY
                                                                            working with NGOs to clear alien vegetation
                                          6.   SERVICE DELIVERY             in  water  catchments,  to  improve  water
                                                                            security  for  its  suppliers.  Critical  to  note  is
                                          7.   INEQUALITY                   that in both these examples, the companies
                                          8.   ECONOMY                      are  creating  climate  adaptation  benefits
            PERPETUAL     FAKE IT UNTIL WE                                  not  just  for  themselves  or  their  customers
             HANGOVER     MAKE IT, OR NOT   9.   GLOBAL TRENDS              and  suppliers,  but  also  for  the  broader
                                          10.  CLIMATE                      community.
                                        C – CURRENT (2020/21)         F – FUTURE (2030)

         Climate change has already had a significant effect on South Africa’s weather patterns, with examples across all categories of extreme
           events and disasters impacting the country. Climate risk and its corresponding extreme events and disasters affect government,
          business and all levels of society, whereby particularly in countries like South Africa, the vulnerable are most drastically impacted –
        linking to increased inequity, social unrest and other risks. Covid-19, while highlighting the effects of “slow boil” catastrophic events such
         as pandemics and climate risk, has also been extremely costly, potentially setting back action on climate change and disaster planning
                                                    and management.


             TOP 5 CHALLENGES TO ACHIEVING                    TOP 5 RISK TREATMENT OPTIONS AND
                             TARGETS                                         OPPORTUNITIES
         1.   Climate is changing quicker than cities, communities and   1.   Raise awareness in government, business and civil society.
             businesses  can  adapt,  and  there  is  a  lack  of  scientific
             decision-ready  data  to  inform  and  prioritise  effective
             interventions.
         2.   A  rapidly  urbanising,  growing  population  that  must  be   2.   Stronger collaboration across sectors and stakeholders in
             accommodated  in  an  environment  of  low  economic   addressing these risks – leadership by government and big
             growth.                                           business is required.
         3.   A lack of knowledge about how our individual and our   3.   The adoption of sustainable practices by all: water-
             organisation’s  daily  actions  affect  our  future  exposure   sensitive practices, energy-efficient design, passive design
             to these climate change and weather-related events.  principals in buildings, resource use reduction, etc.
         4.   Land-use planning falls on local municipalities that are   4.   Call  on  big  business  and  investors  to  increase  pressure
             under tremendous pressure.                        on reducing dirty assets whilst promoting sustainable and
                                                               green investments.
         5.   Continued low awareness in government, business and   5.   Use  of  technology  and  innovative  financial  solutions  to
             civil society.                                    improve  resilience  and  reduce  the  Risk  Protection  Gap
                                                               (RPG).

                                              FACTS AND FIGURES
         •   The 2017 Knysna Fires cost more than R3 billion in damages and were the single largest insured loss in SA history at around R2
             billion, closely followed by floods in KZN later the same year, which were estimated to have caused R2 billion in losses.
         •   SA contributes more to global carbon emissions per capita than its G-20 peers, with a particularly dirty energy industry – SA 9
             tCO2 / capita vs G-20 average of 7.5 tCO2 / capita.
         •   The UN Environment Programme (UNEP) launched the first global insurance industry guide in June 2020 to tackle a wide range
             of sustainability risks including climate change.
         •   South African companies, including those in the energy sector such as Sasol and Eskom, are starting to move towards reducing
             CO2 emissions and promoting green energy projects.
        Source:  https://www.unepfi.org/psi/underwriting-esg-risks/; https://greenbook.co.za; Climate Transparency, 2019; Knysna Fires Report, 2018; WEF, 2020



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